In our 510,000-path Monte Carlo study of 30-year retirement outcomes, Nebraska retirees finished at 74.11% success rate (ranked #22 of 51 by success rate, #30 of 51 by lowest median lifetime state tax). Median 30-year state-tax cost: $65,520 — that is $65,520 more than a Wyoming retiree pays. Median terminal balance after 30 years: $889,186. State tax is part of the optimization here — the playbook below shows the federal-state-ACA stack.
The NE verdict
For a retiree planning withdrawals in 2026, Nebraska is a middle-of-the-road state for retirement taxation. Ss fully exempt as of 2024, county inheritance tax exists.
There is meaningful state tax on Roth conversions, but the rate is not punitive. Modeling the joint federal + state + ACA cliff cost matters — small conversions can be efficient, large conversions less so.
Worked example: $30k Roth conversion in Nebraska
Consider a married couple age 58 in Nebraska with $75,000 of taxable income, both on ACA Marketplace coverage. They want to convert $30,000 from a traditional IRA to a Roth. At Nebraska's 5.20% top marginal rate, the state tax on that conversion is approximately $1,560. Federal tax at the 22% bracket adds another $6,600. And because the conversion pushes their MAGI to $105,000 — over the 400% FPL cliff of $81,760 — they lose their full ACA premium tax credit, roughly $12,000. Total cost of the $30,000 conversion: about $20,160, or an effective 67.2% marginal rate. The federal-state-ACA stack matters in Nebraska.
Cost breakdown
| Component | Amount |
|---|---|
| Federal income tax (22% bracket) | $6,600 |
| Nebraska state income tax | $1,560 |
| ACA premium tax credit clawback | $12,000 |
| Total cost on $30,000 conversion | $20,160 (67.2% effective) |
Scenario B (moderate): cliff-aware $40k conversion in Nebraska
A Nebraska couple aged 60, both on Marketplace coverage with $50K wages converts $40,000 but stops at exactly the 400% FPL cliff to preserve their PTC. State tax at 5.20% effective ~4.42%: $1,768. Federal tax at 22%: $8,800. ACA PTC preserved. Total cost: $10,568, or 26.4% effective. In moderate-tax states, the conversion size is bounded by both the IRMAA two-year lookback and the ACA cliff — not state tax alone.
What the Monte Carlo data says about Nebraska
QuantCalc Research ran a 30-year, 10,000-path Monte Carlo simulation for an identical representative retiree (age 60, $2M starting balance, 60/40 portfolio, $80K real annual spend) in each of the 51 U.S. jurisdictions. Here's how Nebraska compared to the best- and worst-case states:
| Metric | Nebraska | Wyoming (best) | California (worst) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30-year success rate | 74.11% | 77.07% | 67.91% |
| Rank (of 51) | #22 | #1 | #51 |
| Median lifetime state tax (30y) | $65,520 | $0 | $167,580 |
| Median total tax (30y) | $283,920 | $218,400 | $385,980 |
| Median terminal balance | $889,186 | $996,189 | $652,555 |
| Δ success vs Wyoming | -2.96 pp | — | −9.16 pp |
Sources: QuantCalc 51-State Monte Carlo Study (2026-05-12) — 510,000 total paths, methodology fully documented and dataset released CC-BY-4.0. Nebraska's row in the dataset uses the same portfolio + spend + retirement age as every other state — the only variable is state tax treatment.
How Nebraska treats capital gains in retirement
Nebraska taxes long-term capital gains as ordinary income at the same top marginal rate (5.20%). That stacks on top of federal LTCG (0%/15%/20%) and the 3.8% NIIT for high earners. A 'free' federal 0% LTCG harvest still costs you 5.20% at the state level — meaningful in this jurisdiction, particularly during Roth-conversion years when your MAGI is already elevated.
Why the ACA cliff hits hard in Nebraska
The 400% federal-poverty-level cliff is federal, not state-specific — but its dollar impact depends on the benchmark Silver-plan premium in your county. Nebraska's Marketplace pricing and your household composition determine the size of the subsidy at risk. A two-person household near 400% FPL can easily have $10,000–$15,000 of annual premium tax credit on the line. Under the OBBBA 2026 restoration of the cliff, $1 of additional MAGI above 400% FPL eliminates the entire credit.
For 2026 the 400% FPL threshold is:
- Household of 1: $60,240
- Household of 2: $81,760
- Household of 3: $103,280
- Household of 4: $124,800
Optimal Roth conversion strategy for Nebraska
The NE-specific playbook depends on tier:
- Identify your cliff distance. Compute MAGI from all income sources (wages, capital gains, interest, dividends, traditional withdrawals). Find your headroom under 400% FPL. Use the live cliff widget above for a quick check.
- Stay under the cliff if you can. In Nebraska at 5.20%, the marginal cost of going over the cliff is federal tax + state tax + full PTC clawback. The break-even conversion size is smaller than in tax-free states.
- If you must go over, convert big. Once you've crossed the cliff, additional conversion dollars only cost federal + state tax (no incremental PTC loss). A "rip the bandage" conversion year can be efficient if you have many traditional dollars to move.
- Coordinate with capital gains and the 0% LTCG bracket. Nebraska taxes long-term capital gains as ordinary income at the same top marginal rate (5.20%). That stacks on top of federal LTCG (0%/15%/20%) and the 3.8% NIIT for high earners. A 'free' federal 0% LTCG harvest still costs you 5.20% at the state level — meaningful in this jurisdiction, particularly during Roth-conversion years when your MAGI is already elevated.
- Plan ahead for IRMAA. The IRMAA Medicare premium surcharge has a 2-year lookback. A Nebraska resident in their early 60s converting today will see IRMAA implications at 65. See RMD + IRMAA calculator for the lookback math.
State tax basics for Nebraska retirees
| Question | Nebraska |
|---|---|
| State income tax | 5.20% top marginal |
| Number of brackets | 4 |
| Social Security taxed | No |
| 401(k) / Traditional IRA taxed | Yes |
| State estate / inheritance tax | No |
| Retirement-friendliness tier | moderate |
| Notable feature | SS fully exempt as of 2024, county inheritance tax exists |
| 30-yr MC success rate (rank) | 74.11% (#22/51) |
| Median 30-yr state tax | $65,520 |
Model your full Nebraska retirement scenario
Free 10,000-path Monte Carlo with state-specific tax engine, ACA cliff, Roth conversion optimizer, IRMAA lookback — all in your browser, no signup.
Run a free simulation →Related calculators and reading
- All-states retirement tax comparison — see Nebraska alongside the other 50 jurisdictions.
- ACA Subsidy Cliff Optimizer — find the largest Roth conversion that keeps you under 400% FPL.
- Roth Conversion Optimizer — bracket-fill vs. fixed-amount strategy comparison.
- RMD + IRMAA Calculator — Medicare premium surcharge based on 2-year-old MAGI.
- Safe Withdrawal Rate Calculator — sequence-of-returns-aware withdrawal planning.
- Research: 51-State 30-year Monte Carlo (2026) — full ranking and dataset.
- Research: Monte Carlo ACA Cliff 2026 — 80,000-path study of the cliff cost.
FAQ
Does Nebraska tax Roth conversions?
Nebraska taxes Roth conversions as ordinary income at the state level. At a top marginal rate of 5.20%, a $30,000 conversion costs about $1,560 in state tax alone — on top of federal tax and any ACA subsidy clawback.
What is Nebraska's 30-year Monte Carlo retirement success rate?
In QuantCalc's 510,000-path Monte Carlo study, a representative retiree in Nebraska (age 60, $2M balance, 60/40 portfolio, $80K real spend) finished 30 years at 74.11% success rate — ranked #22 of 51 jurisdictions. Median 30-year state tax: $65,520. Median terminal balance: $889,186.
What is the ACA cliff in Nebraska for 2026?
The ACA premium-tax-credit cliff is a federal threshold, not state-specific. For a household of two in 2026, it sits at 400% of the federal poverty level — $81,760. Crossing it by even $1 of MAGI eliminates the full subsidy under the OBBBA 2026 rules.
Is Nebraska a good state to retire for tax purposes?
Nebraska is a middle-of-the-road state for retirement taxation. Ss fully exempt as of 2024, county inheritance tax exists. In our Monte Carlo ranking it placed #22 of 51 jurisdictions.
Does Nebraska tax Social Security benefits?
Nebraska does not tax Social Security benefits at the state level.
Does Nebraska have a state estate or inheritance tax?
No — Nebraska does not impose a state-level estate or inheritance tax.
How does Nebraska tax capital gains?
Nebraska taxes long-term capital gains as ordinary income at the same top marginal rate (5.20%). That stacks on top of federal LTCG (0%/15%/20%) and the 3.8% NIIT for high earners. A 'free' federal 0% LTCG harvest still costs you 5.20% at the state level — meaningful in this jurisdiction, particularly during Roth-conversion years when your MAGI is already elevated.
Last updated 2026-05-16. State income tax data sourced from the Nebraska Department of Revenue and the Tax Foundation's 2026 state tax facts publication. ACA poverty-level figures from HHS 2026 Federal Register. Monte Carlo numbers from the QuantCalc 51-state research drop (2026-05-12, CC-BY-4.0). This page is educational. Not tax, legal, or financial advice — consult a qualified advisor.