Cost of Raising a Child in 2026: USDA Estimate, Adjusted for Inflation
USDA’s latest cost-of-raising-a-child figures by income, age and category, restated to today’s prices with a stated CPI formula, and what the 2026 child tax benefits give back.
USDA’s latest estimate is $233,610 to raise a child from birth through age 17, for a middle-income married couple with two children, in 2015 dollars (USDA, Expenditures on Children by Families, 2015). Restated with the Consumer Price Index to September 2026 prices, that is about $332,100 — roughly $18,450 a year (our CPI adjustment, not a new USDA survey). College is not included.
Last updated 2026-11-04. Sources are linked next to each figure and listed at the end.
Cost of raising a child to 18, by family income
| Family income (2015) | USDA total, 2015 dollars | In 2025 dollars | In September 2026 dollars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before-tax income less than $59,200 (average $36,300) | $174,690 | $237,280 | $248,340 |
| Before-tax income $59,200 to $107,400 (average $81,700) | $233,610 | $317,320 | $332,100 |
| Before-tax income more than $107,400 (average $185,400) | $372,210 | $505,580 | $529,130 |
How the adjustment is done. September 2026 dollars = 2015 dollars × (CPI-U September 2026 ÷ CPI-U 2015 annual average) = × 336.940 ÷ 237.017 = × 1.4216. For 2025 dollars the factor is 321.943 ÷ 237.017 = 1.3583. Series CUUR0000SA0, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted (BLS). This assumes every category rose with overall prices since 2015. Individual categories such as child care, housing and health care need not have moved with the overall index, and spending habits change, so treat the restated figures as estimates. USDA itself projected $284,570 for a child born in 2015 at an assumed 2.2% inflation a year (USDA, Table 10).
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Yearly cost by age of the child
| Age | Lower income | Middle income | Higher income | Middle, September 2026 dollars |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | $9,690 | $12,680 | $19,770 | $18,030 |
| 3–5 | $9,700 | $12,730 | $19,790 | $18,100 |
| 6–8 | $9,330 | $12,350 | $19,380 | $17,560 |
| 9–11 | $9,960 | $13,180 | $20,700 | $18,740 |
| 12–14 | $9,570 | $13,030 | $21,050 | $18,520 |
| 15–17 | $9,980 | $13,900 | $23,380 | $19,760 |
Where the money goes (middle-income family)
| Category | 2015 dollars | Share | September 2026 dollars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Housing | $66,240 | 28% | $94,170 |
| Food | $41,400 | 18% | $58,850 |
| Transportation | $35,490 | 15% | $50,450 |
| Clothing | $13,260 | 6% | $18,850 |
| Health care | $21,720 | 9% | $30,880 |
| Child care and education | $38,040 | 16% | $54,080 |
| Miscellaneous | $17,460 | 7% | $24,820 |
Housing is the largest share, then food and child care. USDA also found that a family with only one child spends about 27% more on that child than a two-child family spends on each, and families with three or more children about 24% less per child (USDA). The estimates leave out college and the time and earnings parents give up.
Tax benefits that offset the cost in 2026
- Child tax credit: up to $2,200 per qualifying child under 17, of which up to $1,700 is refundable as the additional child tax credit; it phases out above $200,000 of modified AGI ($400,000 joint) (IRS; IRC §24). Details: child tax credit 2026.
- Credit for other dependents: $500 for a dependent who does not qualify for the child tax credit, such as a 17- or 18-year-old (IRC §24(h)(4)).
- Earned income credit: larger with each qualifying child, for lower and moderate earners. See earned income credit 2026.
- Dependent care: a dependent care FSA can exclude up to $7,500 of child care from pay in 2026 (IRC §129), or the child and dependent care credit applies. Compare them on dependent care FSA limit 2026.
| Household | No children | 1 child | 2 children |
|---|---|---|---|
| Married, $84,780 | $5,813 | $3,613 | $1,413 |
| Single earner, $40,000 | $2,623 | −$2,461 (refund) | −$6,730 (refund) |
For the married couple each child lowers federal tax by $2,200, the full child tax credit. For a single earner at $40,000 the earned income credit adds to it: two children change the result from $2,623 owed to $6,730 back. Try your own numbers in the tax refund calculator.
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How much does it cost to raise a child to 18?
USDA’s estimate is $233,610 in 2015 dollars for a middle-income married couple, birth through 17 (USDA). Adjusted for inflation with the CPI-U to September 2026, about $332,100. Lower-income families spent about $174,690 and higher-income families about $372,210 in 2015 dollars.
Is there a newer USDA cost of raising a child report?
No. The 2015 edition, published in 2017, is the last one USDA has released; restating it with the Consumer Price Index is the usual way to bring it to current prices, with the caveat that categories such as child care have risen at different rates.
How much does a child cost per year?
In 2015 dollars, $12,350 to $13,900 a year for a middle-income family, rising with age (USDA); about $17,560 to $19,760 restated to September 2026.
Does the cost include college?
No. USDA counts direct spending from birth through age 17: housing, food, transportation, clothing, health care, child care and education, and miscellaneous. College and parents’ lost earnings are not included.
How much is the child tax credit in 2026?
Up to $2,200 per child under 17, up to $1,700 of it refundable (IRS). See child tax credit 2026.
Sources
- USDA: Expenditures on Children by Families, 2015 (Lino et al., revised March 2017)
- BLS: CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items (CUUR0000SA0)
- IRS: Child tax credit
- 26 U.S.C. §24 (child tax credit)
- 26 U.S.C. §129 (dependent care assistance)
USDA figures are copied from Table 1 of the report (research/data/cost-of-raising-a-child-2026.json); the CPI-U values are BLS series CUUR0000SA0, retrieved 2026-11-04. Tax figures are computed by frontend/js/calc/household-tax-2026.js, the federal engine copy held to POST /api/federal-tax. QuantCalc is calculation software, not tax, legal, insurance or investment advice.
Related
Child tax credit 2026 → Dependent care FSA limit 2026 → Earned income credit 2026 → Median household income by state → Tax refund calculator 2026 →