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Success Rate
?Success rate is the share of simulations where you don't run out of money. 95% CI is the Wilson interval — the true rate lies in this range with 95% confidence. At 100 sims the CI is wide (~10%); at 10,000 sims (PRO) it narrows to ~1%. Dollar values shown below are inflation-adjusted.
Based on 100 Monte Carlo simulations · How this works →
10th Pctl
?In 90% of simulations, your portfolio ends above this amount
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Median
?Half of simulations end above this amount, half below
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90th Pctl
?Only 10% of simulations end above this amount (optimistic outcome)
$--
All dollar values are inflation-adjusted to today's dollars (real $). Why?
Assumptions used in this result — click to expand
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Portfolio Projection
Allocation
Monte Carlo Paths
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Glide Path ?How your asset allocation shifts over time (e.g., more bonds as you age)
Income vs Spending
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Ruin Probability ?The chance your portfolio hits $0 at each point in retirement
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