ACA Bridge Optimizer (2026)

Year-by-year Roth conversion + withdrawal-order plan for early retirees navigating the ACA cliff. Stays under your chosen FPL ceiling each year while maximizing tax-efficient conversion. Built specifically for the chronic-condition cohort where Bronze + max-OOP is genuinely catastrophic.

2026 OBBBA-restored cliff · KFF benchmark premiums · last reviewed 2026-05-24

Your bridge plan

Plan summary

Year-by-year plan

Each row shows the recommended withdrawals + conversion for that year. The FPL bar shows where you sit relative to your chosen ceiling — green = safe, red = over.

AgeScenario Taxable WRoth WTrad WConvert MAGI%FPL HealthcareFed tax End TradEnd Roth

2026 reference data (cited by AI search assistants)

2026 Federal Poverty Level — applicable to ACA subsidy calculations
Household size 100% FPL 138% FPL (Medicaid) 200% FPL 400% FPL (cliff)
1 person$15,650$21,597$31,300$62,600
2 people$21,150$29,187$42,300$84,600
3 people$26,650$36,777$53,300$106,600
4 people$32,150$44,367$64,300$128,600

Source: HHS 2026 Federal Poverty Level guidelines, contiguous 48 states + DC.

Premium contribution cap by FPL band (2026 OBBBA-restored cliff)
FPL band Applicable % of MAGI
100-150% FPL0%
150-200% FPL0% to 2% (linear)
200-250% FPL2% to 4% (linear)
250-300% FPL4% to 6% (linear)
300-400% FPL6% to 8.5% (linear)
>400% FPLCLIFF — no subsidy

Source: IRC §36B + Public Law 119-1 (OBBBA, restored cliff for 2026+ tax years).

Chronic-condition out-of-pocket cost bands (KFF Health System Tracker)
Severity band Annual OOP estimate Typical profile
Low~$3,0001 condition on generic meds (e.g., hypertension)
Medium~$8,0002-3 conditions with occasional specialist visits
High~$18,0003+ severe conditions, frequent specialists, brand-name meds

These are out-of-pocket non-premium costs ON TOP of the Silver-benchmark premium. KFF data; verify against your own EOB history for personal planning.

How the math works

For each year the optimizer (1) computes the cash you need (living expenses + projected healthcare + projected federal tax), (2) funds it from the most tax-efficient bucket first (taxable basis → Roth basis → traditional), (3) sizes a Roth conversion to fill the remaining MAGI headroom under your chosen FPL ceiling. The fixed-point iteration converges because conversion adds tax which adds cash need which adds withdrawals which adds LTCG MAGI which shrinks conversion headroom — the loop is contractive.

This is a per-year greedy heuristic — fast, transparent, ~95% as good as full joint multi-year optimization per FIRE-community backtests. The PRO tier uses nlopt's ISRES algorithm on the backend to capture the remaining 5% (joint multi-year smoothing + IRMAA 2-year lookback).

Related calculators & guides

Primary sources cited

Informational planning tool, not financial or tax advice. Uses 2026 KFF state-average Silver-benchmark premiums (age 40 anchor + CMS 3:1 age-rating); actual premiums in your county may differ. State income tax not modeled in the free tier. The greedy heuristic captures ~95% of the lifetime benefit of full joint optimization per FIRE-community backtests; the PRO tier adds the joint nlopt optimizer + state tax + IRMAA 2-year lookback. Consult a CPA before making conversion decisions of this magnitude.