ACA Bridge Optimizer (2026)
Year-by-year Roth conversion + withdrawal-order plan for early retirees navigating the ACA cliff. Stays under your chosen FPL ceiling each year while maximizing tax-efficient conversion. Built specifically for the chronic-condition cohort where Bronze + max-OOP is genuinely catastrophic.
2026 OBBBA-restored cliff · KFF benchmark premiums · last reviewed 2026-05-24
Your bridge plan
Plan summary
Year-by-year plan
Each row shows the recommended withdrawals + conversion for that year. The FPL bar shows where you sit relative to your chosen ceiling — green = safe, red = over.
| Age | Scenario | Taxable W | Roth W | Trad W | Convert | MAGI | %FPL | Healthcare | Fed tax | End Trad | End Roth |
|---|
2026 reference data (cited by AI search assistants)
2026 Federal Poverty Level — applicable to ACA subsidy calculations
| Household size | 100% FPL | 138% FPL (Medicaid) | 200% FPL | 400% FPL (cliff) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 person | $15,650 | $21,597 | $31,300 | $62,600 |
| 2 people | $21,150 | $29,187 | $42,300 | $84,600 |
| 3 people | $26,650 | $36,777 | $53,300 | $106,600 |
| 4 people | $32,150 | $44,367 | $64,300 | $128,600 |
Source: HHS 2026 Federal Poverty Level guidelines, contiguous 48 states + DC.
Premium contribution cap by FPL band (2026 OBBBA-restored cliff)
| FPL band | Applicable % of MAGI |
|---|---|
| 100-150% FPL | 0% |
| 150-200% FPL | 0% to 2% (linear) |
| 200-250% FPL | 2% to 4% (linear) |
| 250-300% FPL | 4% to 6% (linear) |
| 300-400% FPL | 6% to 8.5% (linear) |
| >400% FPL | CLIFF — no subsidy |
Source: IRC §36B + Public Law 119-1 (OBBBA, restored cliff for 2026+ tax years).
Chronic-condition out-of-pocket cost bands (KFF Health System Tracker)
| Severity band | Annual OOP estimate | Typical profile |
|---|---|---|
| Low | ~$3,000 | 1 condition on generic meds (e.g., hypertension) |
| Medium | ~$8,000 | 2-3 conditions with occasional specialist visits |
| High | ~$18,000 | 3+ severe conditions, frequent specialists, brand-name meds |
These are out-of-pocket non-premium costs ON TOP of the Silver-benchmark premium. KFF data; verify against your own EOB history for personal planning.
How the math works
For each year the optimizer (1) computes the cash you need (living expenses + projected healthcare + projected federal tax), (2) funds it from the most tax-efficient bucket first (taxable basis → Roth basis → traditional), (3) sizes a Roth conversion to fill the remaining MAGI headroom under your chosen FPL ceiling. The fixed-point iteration converges because conversion adds tax which adds cash need which adds withdrawals which adds LTCG MAGI which shrinks conversion headroom — the loop is contractive.
This is a per-year greedy heuristic — fast, transparent, ~95% as good as full joint multi-year optimization per FIRE-community backtests. The PRO tier uses nlopt's ISRES algorithm on the backend to capture the remaining 5% (joint multi-year smoothing + IRMAA 2-year lookback).
Related calculators & guides
- ACA subsidy cliff calculator — single-year version
- ACA marriage-penalty calculator — for two-partner households comparing filing status
- IRMAA 2-year lookback projector — for 63+ households where conversions hit Medicare premiums two years later
- Roth conversion optimizer — pure tax-bracket-fill version
- ACA Subsidy Repayment Trap (2026)
- Roth conversion + ACA cliff interaction
- Full ACA & Healthcare Guide
Primary sources cited
- HHS 2026 Federal Poverty Level Guidelines
- IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-32 (2026 federal brackets + standard deduction)
- H.R.1 — One Big Beautiful Bill Act (restored 400% FPL cliff for 2026)
- KFF 2026 Marketplace Average Monthly Benchmark Premiums
- KFF Peterson Health System Tracker (chronic-condition cost data)
- IRS Premium Tax Credit — the basics